Worst-Case Scenarios |
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Zusammenfassungen
Nuclear bombs in suitcases, anthrax bacilli in ventilators, tsunamis and meteors, avian flu, scorchingly hot temperatures: nightmares that were once the plot of Hollywood movies are now frighteningly real possibilities. How can we steer a path between willful inaction and reckless overreaction?
Cass Sunstein explores these and other worst-case scenarios and how we might best prevent them in this vivid, illuminating, and highly original analysis. Singling out the problems of terrorism and climate change, Sunstein explores our susceptibility to two opposite and unhelpful reactions: panic and utter neglect. He shows how private individuals and public officials might best respond to low-probability risks of disasteremphasizing the need to know what we will lose from precautions as well as from inaction. Finally, he offers an understanding of the uses and limits of costbenefit analysis, especially when current generations are imposing risks on future generations.
Throughout, Sunstein uses climate change as a defining case, because it dramatically illustrates the underlying principles. But he also discusses terrorism, depletion of the ozone layer, genetic modification of food, hurricanes, and worst-case scenarios faced in our ordinary lives. Sunstein concludes that if we can avoid the twin dangers of overreaction and apathy, we will be able to ameliorate if not avoid future catastrophes, retaining our sanity as well as scarce resources that can be devoted to more constructive ends.
Von Klappentext im Buch Worst-Case Scenarios (2009) Cass Sunstein explores these and other worst-case scenarios and how we might best prevent them in this vivid, illuminating, and highly original analysis. Singling out the problems of terrorism and climate change, Sunstein explores our susceptibility to two opposite and unhelpful reactions: panic and utter neglect. He shows how private individuals and public officials might best respond to low-probability risks of disasteremphasizing the need to know what we will lose from precautions as well as from inaction. Finally, he offers an understanding of the uses and limits of costbenefit analysis, especially when current generations are imposing risks on future generations.
Throughout, Sunstein uses climate change as a defining case, because it dramatically illustrates the underlying principles. But he also discusses terrorism, depletion of the ozone layer, genetic modification of food, hurricanes, and worst-case scenarios faced in our ordinary lives. Sunstein concludes that if we can avoid the twin dangers of overreaction and apathy, we will be able to ameliorate if not avoid future catastrophes, retaining our sanity as well as scarce resources that can be devoted to more constructive ends.
Dieses Buch erwähnt ...
Personen KB IB clear | Daniel Kahneman , Amos Tversky | ||||||||||||||||||
Fragen KB IB clear | Wie treffen wir Entscheidungen?How do we decide? | ||||||||||||||||||
Begriffe KB IB clear | 9/11 , Arbeitslosigkeitunemployment , Availability biasAvailability bias , China , Demokratiedemocracy , Efficiency (Usability-Dimension)Efficiency , EstlandEstonia , EuropaEurope , Frankreich , IndienIndia , Japan , Klimawandel , Moral , NorwegenNorway , Patriot Act , Politikpolitics , Problemproblem , Risikorisk , Roboterrobot , SchweizSwitzerland , Statistikstatistics , Terrorismusterrorism , Theorietheory , Ungewissheit , United KingdomUnited Kingdom , USA , VerlustaversionLoss aversion , Wissenschaftscience , Zukunftfuture | ||||||||||||||||||
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Beat und dieses Buch
Beat hat dieses Buch während seiner Zeit am Institut für Medien und Schule (IMS) ins Biblionetz aufgenommen. Beat besitzt kein physisches, aber ein digitales Exemplar. (das er aber aus Urheberrechtsgründen nicht einfach weitergeben darf). Es gibt bisher nur wenige Objekte im Biblionetz, die dieses Werk zitieren.