Recent research suggests that the first weeks of a CS1 course have a strong influence on end-of-course student performance. The present work aims to refine the understanding of this phenomenon by using in-class clicker questions as a source of student performance. Clicker questions generate per-lecture and per-question data with which to assess student understanding. This work demonstrates that clicker question performance early in the term predicts student outcomes at the end of the term. The predictive nature of these questions applies to code-writing questions, multiple choice questions, and the final exam as a whole. The most predictive clicker questions are identified and the relationships between these questions and final exam performance are examined.