Igel-Denken |
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Synonyme
Igel-Denken, hedgehog thinking
Definitionen

hedgehogs prefer simplicity. They don’t want to clutter up their analysis with information. They want to use the
minimum amount of information necessary to produce an answer. They also demand clarity. They don’t want
things vague and fuzzy; they want to push the analysis until they get clarity. And of course, if you do that, you’re
going to be increasingly confident that you have the correct answer. And they are. They are very confident. You
can see it in the language that they use. Hedgehogs are much more likely to say something like, „It is certain“,
„Impossible, this will never happen“, or „It will/won’t happen“. Notice that there’s no probability there. It’s just, „It
will“, or „It won’t“.
Von Dan Gardner im Text Turning Future Babble Into Real Foresight (2014) 

Bemerkungen
Von Daniel Kahneman im Buch Schnelles Denken - langsames Denken (2011)
Von Nate Silver im Buch The Signal and the Noise (2012) im Text Sind Sie schlauer als der Experte im Fernsehen?

Verwandte Objeke
![]() Verwandte Begriffe (Cozitation) | ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() |
![]() Verwandte Aussagen | Personen mit einfachen Antworten (Igel-Denken) erhalten mehr Medienaufmerksamkeit) |
Häufig co-zitierte Personen

Tetlock

Kahneman
Statistisches Begriffsnetz 
Zitationsgraph
6 Erwähnungen 
- Expert Political Judgment (Philip E. Tetlock) (2006)
- Schnelles Denken - langsames Denken (Daniel Kahneman) (2011)
- The Signal and the Noise (Nate Silver) (2012)
- Present Shock - When Everything Happens Now (Douglas Rushkoff) (2013)
- 4. Fraktalnoia
- Turning Future Babble Into Real Foresight (Dan Gardner) (2014)
- Superforcasting - The Art and Science of Prediction (Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner) (2015)